Archive for Regency Newsletters

Fourth Quarter, 2014 Investment Review

Tuesday, January 6th, 2015

Oil Slick

“There are two ways of spreading light: to be the candle or the mirror that reflects it.”
– Edit Wharton

Oil prices leaked massively in the last half of 2014 and for the year as supply growth greatly exceeded demand growth for the black gold and producers chose not to decrease production.  Brent crude oil dropped almost 50% in the second half of the year.  Consumers and heavy energy users (e.g. airlines) benefitted significantly from this trend.  (more…)

Third Quarter, 2014 Investment Review

Tuesday, October 7th, 2014

Forecasts

“I not only use the brains I have, but all I can borrow.” – Woodrow Wilson

Forecasts can be helpful in planning our lives and investing our money but can also lead to indecision, paralysis, missed opportunities, and gasp, even over packing. Weather forecasts are notorious for their error rate but who doesn’t check them before heading on a trip? (more…)

Second Quarter, 2014 Investment Review

Thursday, July 3rd, 2014

Risks

“If no one ever took risks, Michelangelo would have painted the Sistine floor.” – Neil Simon

Risks abound in securities markets and the current environment is no exception. As we enter the second half of 2014, troublesome headlines include Jihad in the Middle East, continued unrest in the Ukraine, and uneven refereeing in the World Cup.   (more…)

First Quarter, 2014 Investment Review

Friday, April 4th, 2014

Excitement

“Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy only when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffett, 2004

Markets don’t go up forever as January’s mini correction attested. Weaker weather-induced data, stumbling emerging markets, and Russia’s greedy incursion and annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea increased uncertainty and volatility. Interest rates confounded consensus expectations by dropping in the face of a steadily tapering Federal Reserve Bank (FED) before weakening in March as the FED modified their guidance. (more…)

Fourth Quarter, 2013 Investment Review

Thursday, January 9th, 2014

Rising.

The greatest glory in living lies not in never falling, but in rising every time we fall.” – Nelson Mandela

A rising tide lifts all boats and oh what fun it was to ride the U.S. stock market tide in 2013.  The S&P 500 Index rose in ten out of twelve months finishing the year on a strong note up 32% (with reinvested dividends, +29% without); its best since 1997. Table One recaps major market indices’ performance: (more…)